Bayes

The procedures are well known the basic math is called Bayes Theorem.

The Economist: Daily news and views 2012

Those wires makes great falls into ye water, it Comes wth great violence; here they Catch the Salmon as they Leap wth speares, the first of these Bayes is a very great one, there is one below the bridge wch must be taken away when the navigation is Compleate for they will need all their water together to fill it to a Depth to Carry the shipps for just by the Bridge is the Key design'd, or yt wch now is already they will Enlarge to that place.

Through England on a Side Saddle in the Time of William and Mary 1888

There’s a big difference, though, between understanding elementary statistics when someone asks you “explain Bayes’ Rule” and having statistics in the fore of your observing brain such that you catch these things in circumstances that don’t cry out (often literally), “hey, wake up, this is a statistics issue!”.

Matthew Yglesias » Bacterial Fingerprints and Bayes’ Law 2010

There’s a big difference, though, between understanding elementary statistics when someone asks you “explain Bayes’ Rule” and having statistics in the fore of your observing brain such that you catch these things in circumstances that don’t cry out (often literally), “hey, wake up, this is a statistics issue!”.

Matthew Yglesias » Bacterial Fingerprints and Bayes’ Law 2010

And I somehow don’t think the “evil vs. good” right wing nor the IQ-obsessed quasi-eugenics crowd (which always seems to not quite remember all the terms involved in Bayes’ theorem) get statistics right anyway.

Matthew Yglesias » Profiling Lite 2010

Eakin said Richard Swinburne, a Greek Orthodox professor of philosophy from Oxford University, used a probability formula known as Bayes's theorem to assign values to factors like the probability that there is a God, the nature of Jesus' behavior during his lifetime, and the quality of witness testimony after his death.

Archive 2009-05-01 2009

Eakin said Richard Swinburne, a Greek Orthodox professor of philosophy from Oxford University, used a probability formula known as Bayes's theorem to assign values to factors like the probability that there is a God, the nature of Jesus' behavior during his lifetime, and the quality of witness testimony after his death.

[christianity] is fair discussion possible [5] 2009

It's counterintuitive, but it's real; it's called Bayes theorem, and it reveals a practical problem with any type of binary testing--the accuracy of the results depends on the frequency of the condition you are testing for.

Numbers don't kill careers, people do. doyle 2009

Eakin said Richard Swinburne, a Greek Orthodox professor of philosophy from Oxford University, used a probability formula known as Bayes's theorem to assign values to factors like the probability that there is a God, the nature of Jesus' behavior during his lifetime, and the quality of witness testimony after his death.

Archive 2008-04-01 2008

The principle enters the classical theory in two ways: (a) in Laplace's definition (Section V, 2) and (b) in the so-called Bayes principle (Section IV, 4).

Dictionary of the History of Ideas HILDA GEIRINGER 1968