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Examples
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The presence of seeds complicates the calculation, but only slightly: given that there are 32 seeds, each of whom faces a non-seed in the first round, and that Isner and Mahut are both unseeded, the probability is 64/96 x 1/95, which works out as 1 in 142.5.
Wimbledon 2011: John Isner and Nicolas Mahut's mathematical minefield 2011
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Isner was seeded 23rd last year but has fallen to 47 in the world; Mahut has moved from 148 to 94.
Wimbledon 2011: John Isner and Nicolas Mahut's mathematical minefield 2011
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Associated Press John Isner, right, of the U.S. walks off court with his opponent, France's Nicolas Mahut, following their marathon match at Wimbledon last year.
The Big-Serving Boom Is Over Tom Perrotta 2011
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Professor Johnstone unravels the conundrum in language even a sports writer can understand: "If there were no seeds, the calculation would be simplicity itself: there are 127 players whom Isner could face in the first round, one of whom is Mahut, so the probability is 1 in 127."
Wimbledon 2011: John Isner and Nicolas Mahut's mathematical minefield 2011
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Getty Images John Isner serving against Nicolas Mahut during their marathon first-round match at last year's Wimbledon.
The Big-Serving Boom Is Over Tom Perrotta 2011
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You think Isner and Mahut had "play longest tennis match in history" on their list of New Year's resolutions?
Emily K. Schwartz: Creating a Little Magic This New Year Emily K. Schwartz 2011
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The sport in question is tennis, but it hardly matters - start reading at the 2. 45pm mark, and keep an eye out for the names Isner and Mahut.
AMAZING karenhealey 2010
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"In terms of sport weirdness that's no Isner - Mahut, but it's an odd feat."
Copa América 2011: Paraguay v Venezuela – as it happened | Jacob Steinberg 2011
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You think Isner and Mahut had "play longest tennis match in history" on their list of New Year's resolutions?
Emily K. Schwartz: Creating a Little Magic This New Year Emily K. Schwartz 2011
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Oh, and one more thing: No matter what happens Tuesday when John Isner and Nicolas Mahut meet in Wimbledon's first round for the second straight year, neither man will end up winning the tournament.
The Big-Serving Boom Is Over Tom Perrotta 2011
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