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Examples
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Miss Prinn crept into T'sung's office, horrified at the prospect of oral dictation.
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Paragraph, Miss Prinn: You speak of the hardships of taxation, of preserving the aristocracy of Espers, of the unsuitability of the average man for Esper training ...
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Paragraph, Miss Prinn: Why don't you come out into the open?
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Prinn says these and a variety of other changes based on new measurements and new analyses changed the odds on what could be expected in this century in the “no policy” scenarios — that is, where there are no policies in place that specifically induce reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.
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Without action, “there is significantly more risk than we previously estimated,” Prinn says.
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Prinn said that rather than obscuring the uncertainties, the roulette wheels "give our best shot of showing what the uncertainties are and at the same time showing the value of a policy."
A. Siegel: MIT Doubles Warming Warning: Or, Why George Will Should Read Washingtonpost.com 2009
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To illustrate the range of probabilities revealed by the 400 simulations, Prinn and the team produced a “roulette wheel” that reflects the latest relative odds of various levels of temperature rise.
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Because vehicles last for years, and buildings and powerplants last for decades, it is essential to start making major changes through adoption of significant national and international policies as soon as possible, Prinn says.
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Prinn stresses that the computer models are built to match the known conditions, processes and past history of the relevant human and natural systems, and the researchers are therefore dependent on the accuracy of this current knowledge.
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Including that feedback “is just going to make it worse,” Prinn says.
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