Sieminski

Analyst Adam Sieminski also said fundamentals are improving as progress has been made in drawing down global floating inventories and distillate (diesel/heating oil) stocks in Europe are "tight."

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Only a major cratering in the global economy is likely to bring either Brent or Nymex oil prices back down to the lows seen in 2008, says Adam Sieminski , chief energy economist at Deutsche Bank.

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Mr. Sieminski says he doesn't expect the European benchmark to hit $125, last seen in early May, on a sustained basis anytime soon.

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Mr. Sieminski of Deutsche Bank added that a focus on higher-quality growth "could be a positive" for the commodities markets, by helping make growth more sustainable.

Bid to Cool Expansion Is Expected to Take a Toll on Surging Commodities 2011

"Watch the price," said Adam Sieminski , energy economist at Deutsche Bank.

Best Barometer for Further Oil Release? Brent Futures David Bird 2011

"Maybe we need to see oil at either $50 or $150 a barrel for them to figure out that they've got to get to grips with the situation," said Adam Sieminski , chief energy economist at Deutsche Bank.

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Mr. Sieminski says investors can profit from wider crack spreads by looking at those energy companies with a strong refining business.

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"The crack spread is an indicator of refinery profitability," says Adam Sieminski , chief energy economist at Deutsche Bank AG in Washington—specifically, the profitability of refining crude oil into gasoline and heating oil.

Three Hidden Market Signals Simon Constable 2011

"Because the things that influence the crude-oil market and the gasoline market are different," Mr. Sieminski says.

Three Hidden Market Signals Simon Constable 2011

Adam Sieminski , a commodities analyst at Deutsche Bank, said a China economist at the bank was forecasting roughly 8.5% growth this year and next, so 7% would represent a reduction.

Bid to Cool Expansion Is Expected to Take a Toll on Surging Commodities 2011