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Examples
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Maintaining buy ratings last year on lululemon athletica Inc., a maker of yoga-inspired activewear, and Deckers Outdoor Corp., the maker of Ugg footwear, helped catapult Mr. Tubin to the top of this category.
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Although many analysts will argue that off-price players will have trouble finding inventory as mainstream retailers order fewer units and therefore have less overstock, "I view it differently," Mr. Tubin says.
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Mr. Tubin believed that when people started to feel better about the economy—he didn't know when—they would start to buy selectively.
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Patience paid off for Mr. Tubin, who is 43 years old.
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Recently, at the Magic Marketplace trade show in Las Vegas, Mr. Tubin noticed that vendors were changing their attitudes about selling to off-price retailers, leading him to conclude that retailers like TJX Cos. and Ross Stores Inc. stand to do well in an environment of rising costs.
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This year, Mr. Tubin is concerned about input-cost inflation.
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• In the clothing and accessories sector, No. 1 analyst Howard Tubin upgraded Deckers Outdoor , the maker of UGG boots, to buy in February 2008, going against Street consensus and despite thinking that the "timing of the upgrade wasn't ideal" given stock-market weakness.
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"I didn't want to get on board before I saw the results," Mr. Tubin says, adding that he thinks Columbia is still expensive on a price/earnings basis compared with its peer group.
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"If I can walk the mall and find something in 10 different stores, I am not interested in it," says Howard Tubin , an analyst at the RBC Capital Markets unit of Royal Bank of Canada , who hits the mall every week.
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Mr. Tubin thinks the company, with a stable of other powerful names like Calvin Klein, is well-positioned to navigate the inflationary environment.
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