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In everyday life, the greater the distance between points A and B, and the more rugged the intervening landscape, the bleaker are the odds for success of a blindfolded walk, even—or perhaps especially—when following a simple-minded rule like “always climb higher; never back down.”
"What are the odds of KillRoy pulling up that road?"
What are the odds that she would end up on a ship captained by a king who recognizes her?