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Help support Wordnik (and make this page ad-free) by adopting the word category-4.
Examples
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This is expected to make landfall along China's coast south of Shanghai as a category-4 storm and then weakening maybe down to a 2 or 1 as it moves toward Shanghai.
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The big increase shown in the BAMS paper is almost a tripling of category-4 hurricanes; other classes of hurricanes seem to show significant drops or no significant changes.
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Bottom line: 1. The new BAMS article shows persuasive evidence of a huge jump in category-4 hurricanes 1970-2004, but declines or flat trends in the numbers of stronger and weaker hurricanes.
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A 2005 Science article co-authored by the same group as the BAMS paper–Webster, Holland, Curry, & Chang, “Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment”–does look at Northern Atlantic hurricanes 1970-2004 separately from Pacific ones, but lumps category-4 and category-5 storms together, showing an increase for the combination, not reporting anything on category-5 hurricanes alone.
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Thus, all of the increase in the North Atlantic category 4-5 storms reported in the 2005 Science article must be due to an increase category-4, not category-5 storms.
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In fact if we take a look at our track you'll see landfall is expected along the Yucatan 2 a.m. late hours of tonight, early tomorrow and as category-4, 145 miles an hour winds.
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RAPPAPORT: We think it will but regardless of what we think at this point everybody on the coast and inland for some distance needs to be prepared for a category-4.
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They had quite a bit of trouble with Ivan, but I am told they do have category-4 windows, which is very, very good news, so in case Dennis does come ashore as category-4.
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We're looking for landfall late tonight into early tomorrow as a category-4.
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We still have maximum winds at 150 miles per hour, so it's still a very strong category-4 passing to the south of the Caymans, which is actually good news.
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