from Wiktionary, Creative Commons Attribution/Share-Alike License.
predictionthat is erroneously high
from Wiktionary, Creative Commons Attribution/Share-Alike License
But for some reason (s), demographics yield a massive overprediction; immigrants commit crimes at one-tenth the expected rate given their demographics.
I’m quite sure that there are papers on this topic somewhere overfitting / overprediction in calibration problems.