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  • Peak bird, in terms of discovering species, was around 1850.

    September 3, 2009

  • Ha! Thanks, mollusque, for pointing out the Bird Factor. (Thanks to you too, yarb.)

    September 2, 2009

  • ... I love Wordie.

    I don't have any answers; just wanted to point that out.

    September 2, 2009

  • This assumes that the discovery curve is sigmoidal, with the x-axis being time and the y-axis being number of genera known. It also assumes that our concept of what constitutes a genus won't change, that the peak should be defined in terms of genera instead of species, and that birds aren't dinosaurs.

    September 2, 2009

  • No, as with peak oil it's because from that point on we expect the rate at which we discover new dinosaur fossils to stop increasing (and in fact to decrease).

    September 2, 2009

  • I wonder why "peak dinosaur" is only 50 percent? Is that because no one expects that we can possibly find more than that? (Haven't read the article yet, so if it's obvious there, forgive me.)

    September 1, 2009

  • This needs to go on someone's "Measurements" list. "I can't push it any further, Captain! We've hit peak dinosaur!"

    September 1, 2009

  • "Since humans started searching for dinosaur bones in 1824, it's estimated that we've found remnants from 29 percent of these types, mostly in the last 20 years ... If we keep at the current pace of new discovery, it's likely that we'll hit something like "peak dinosaur," with 50 percent of all dinosaur genera discovered, by 2037."

    - Will we ever run out of dinosaur bones?, slate.com, 28-8-09

    September 1, 2009