PECOTA

PECOTA, which is definitely not as optimistic, still puts Ortiz just behind Mark Teixeira, fifth in the American League, in slugging.

YFSF 2009

Silver developed a system called PECOTA, omparison and Optimization Test

The News is NowPublic.com - NowPublic.com: The News is Now Public 2008

Furthermore, Silver himself invented a system called PECOTA, an algorithm for predicting future performance by baseball players and teams.

unknown title 2008

We already know that one month of stats is less predictive than a whole season's (and both are less predictive still than a good projection system, such as PECOTA).

Baseball Prospectus 2010

"PECOTA" projections that predicted the Indians would finish at 76-86, a record that the GM called "unrealistically good but still bad enough that I wasn't going to make a scene."

Let's Go Tribe! 2010

"PECOTA" projections that predicted the Indians would finish at 76-86, a record that the GM called "unrealistically good but still bad enough that I wasn't going to make a scene."

Let's Go Tribe! 2010

"PECOTA" projections that predicted the Indians would finish at 76-86, a record that the GM called "unrealistically good but still bad enough that I wasn't going to make a scene."

Let's Go Tribe! 2010

Baseball Prospectus's PECOTA system seems almost conservative when it projects a mere .462.

Fans Should Temper Their Expectations for Montero 2011

I've learned my lesson well enough to know not to bury the Angels, like some projection systems are doing this spring (please don't kill me PECOTA, I'm still a big fan).

2010 MLB Predictions 2010

PECOTA projections, one of the prediction standards, gives the Nationals a 23 percent chance to make the playoffs.

A remarkable pitching matchup, a remarkable season 2010