hindcasting

They test their theories by "hindcasting" - basically, plugging in known conditions from past storm seasons and seeing how well the models recreate the historical results.

Brownsville Herald : By ALLEN G. BREED 2010

Since such increases have been occurring for a century, the forecasting validity can be tested through "hindcasting," plugging the models into the past and seeing if they correlate with observed data for subsequent periods.

Mackinac Center Commentaries 2010

Since such increases have been occurring for a century, the forecasting validity can be tested through "hindcasting," plugging the models into the past and seeing if they correlate with observed data for subsequent periods.

Mackinac Center Commentaries 2010

Part of the package is 'hindcasting', or forecasting starting from a pre-industrial scenario.

ScienceBlogs Channel : Life Science 2009

Philip Klotzbach and William Gray use 'hindcasting' for their predictions, which are sometimes right on and sometimes way off.

unknown title 2009

The truth is, in terms of good data and verification of climate models, we have about 20 years worth of model hindcasting with which to make forecasts.

Archive 2009-07-01 Edstock 2009

The truth is, in terms of good data and verification of climate models, we have about 20 years worth of model hindcasting with which to make forecasts.

Sweating one's (fill in appropriate body part) off Dave 2009

The Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University used “hindcasting” (predicting probability by analyzing past activity) to arrive at its June 3 revised estimate of 15 named storms and a 69 percent chance of a major landfall of a Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricane on the U.S. coastline.

Be prepared for weather emergencies 2008

The Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University used “hindcasting” predicting probability by analyzing past activity to arrive at its June 3 revised estimate of 15 named storms and a 69 percent chance of a major landfall of a Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricane on the U.S. coastline.

Be prepared for weather emergencies 2008

Any hindcasting would have to come from a weather model.

Unthreaded #3 « Climate Audit 2007