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It is hard for me to tell, but I think that what they are doing is what econometricians would call "reduced-form" estimation rather than structural estimation.
Although it is difficult enough to analyze peoples motives, much less the motives of a 600-page document, I cant help but think after reading it that the strong tone of morality and alarm is mostly reecting a fear of (in my ponderously esoteric Bayesian jargon) what is potentially out there in the thick left tail of the reduced-form posterior-predictive probability distribution of g under greenhouse warming.
Our finding of a reduced-form inverse relationship between the relative size of a group and its success in securing the ballot may be of use also for the study of other franchise extensions and for inquiries into the dynamics of political power sharing more generally.
To get the behavioural impact, it's necessary to form a measure of the predicted stamp duty in an area, and run this either as a reduced-form or instrumental variables regression.
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